After tweets that seemed to side against Qatar, President Trump has offered to host a meeting to work out problems between the small oil-rich nation and its neighbors, which are seeking to isolate it.
Liverpool apologise to Southampton over “any misunderstanding” and end their interest in defender Virgil van Dijk.
Newly released documents showed that President Trump?s vow to ?drain the swamp? of influence peddling is not being fully realized.
Simona Halep progresses to the French Open semi-finals after battling back to beat Elina Svitolina 3-6 7-6 (8-6) 6-0.
A spate of overdoses possibly tied to street drugs sold in Georgia has led to up to four deaths and more than a dozen hospitalizations, health officials said.
The takeover is the first in which the European Central Bank has determined that a eurozone lender has failed or is about to fail.
Defending champion Lizzie Deignan says the Women’s Tour, which begins on Wednesday, has developed into a race “everybody targets”.
Imagine making your bed disappear at the push of a button.
That?s what Ori, a robotic furniture system designed for tiny apartments, would allow you to do. It?s a single plywood unit that can act as a bed, home office, closet and storage space, and it changes configurations on command.
The furniture itself is simplistic in style, but it looks like a major space saver. For example, you can press Ori?s button to retract your bed (which comes in two sizes, full and queen), move the unit and turn your small home into one big living space for the day:
You can also command Ori via an app and make it do important tasks like deliver your wine:
Ori ? the brainchild of MIT professor Kent Larson, graduate student Hasier Larrea and designer Yves Béhar ? has been in development since 2015. Last week, the product became available for real estate developers to pre-order for their apartment buildings at a starting price of $10,000 a unit.
Right now, apartment renters can?t buy Ori for themselves, but the system will soon appear in units whose rents are around $3,000 per month in cities including New York, San Francisco and Chicago, TechCrunch reports.
It?s a pretty penny, but it just might beat assembling Ikea furniture.
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PITTSBURGH — The Pittsburgh Steelers are set at almost every position on offense. But one of the biggest questions facing the Steelers this summer is who will be backup running back.
Though the United States’ membership on the U.N. Human Rights Council doesn’t run out for two years, the Trump administration said Tuesday it might leave early.
The boy, Jaheen Hunter, was being walked to a car by his father on Monday when a gunman opened fire, missing his target and striking the boy, the police said.
?During my recent trip to the Middle East I stated that there can no longer be funding of Radical Ideology,? he tweeted. ?Leaders pointed to Qatar ? look!?
Jos Buttler makes a quickfire 61 off 48 balls in a late flurry, including this ramp shot that unnerves a cameraman on the high gantry at Sophia Gardens, to help England post a total of 310.
While the magnitude of the London attack was not on the same scale as that wrought on Manchester, terrorism and fear of it is not just about the body count.
The leading nemesis to weight loss is due to its high calorie content from the added sugarsSome scholarships for being right handed were taken by people who didn’t need them.. Diet soda may seem less harmful since it has a low sugar content but it has the same effects as normal soda such as bone thinning and tooth decay.
The family of Sara Zelenak, an Australian missing since the London attack, say they are very concerned for her safety.
A U.S. government contractor was arrested by the FBI at her Georgia home over the weekend, accused of leaking classified material to a news organization.
Bill Maher is the worst, and has been consistently the worst for decades. His cavalier use of the word n****r on his HBO show Friday night sparked outrage, and rightfully so, but it?s not like Maher hasn?t exhibited his tendency to say racist, sexist, transphobic and Islamophobic things in the past.
His whole shtick, after all, is anti-political correctness with a seemingly ?liberal? bent, but this latest incident is a perfect example of how being ?liberal? doesn?t necessarily mean you can?t be racist. But as Afropunk writer Hari Zayed observed on Monday, people have suddenly decided to be outraged at Maher because ?white liberalism makes lightning-rod terms the problem in order to deflect from the structures beneath them.?
On Saturday, Maher issued an apology for dropping the n-bomb, but HBO has no plans to suspend or fire him. Which makes sense, because he?s a rich white man who has probably made the network a lot of money. But damn, there are so many people ? particularly people of color ? who would be funnier, more insightful, and far less obnoxiously smug in Maher?s time slot.
Below are just a few people who should have their own late night political talk show ? who definitely aren?t Bill Maher:
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An elderly man enjoying a meal at a Singapore cafe is being hailed online for staying put while his fellow customers fled an oncoming snake.
Critics accuse the US president of twisting the mayor’s words amid calls to cancel his visit to the UK.
Stories emerge of those who tackled the attackers, putting themselves in danger to defend others.
Sports betting is at an all-time high in Australia .According to latest statistics, close to a billion Australian dollars was spent on sports betting in the past one year. This is a 13% increase in sports betting expenditure. Simply put, we are getting more and more involved in betting. This is hugely due to the introduction of online and mobile betting Centrifugally cast stainless steel tube is one of the products produced by our company. as a result of increased internet connectivity and advancements in mobile technology.
The countdown is on for Father?s Day, which means presents, celebrations and funny tweets from parents.
Every year, the comical moms and dads of Twitter share their thoughts on the holiday, which include their takes on their kids? (mis)behavior on the big day and their ideas on what dads really want (spoiler: it?s silence).
Here are 17 funny tweets about Father?s Day.
The HuffPost Parents newsletter, So You Want To Raise A Feminist, offers the latest stories and news in progressive parenting.
– This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.
Peter takes the rabbit out of the All husbands and men planning to marry should know basic head lice removal techniques to apply while with their partners.. It is an Easter rabbit. It has pink fur. He hugs the rabbit.
Police were called after an explosion and found one man already dead in a hallway.
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday rejected allegations that his country influenced last year?s U.S. presidential election, saying such an act ?wouldn?t make sense? and that he hadn?t seen ?any direct proof of Russian interference? that would have aided the election of Donald Trump.
Putin, in an interview on NBC?s new program ?Sunday Night,? with Megyn Kelly, fired back at assertions that Russia had meddled in the election, at times getting noticeably agitated with the line of questioning. At one point, he told Kelly Russia didn?t care who the American president was as the ?main political direction does not change,? regardless of who?s in charge.
?Presidents come and go, and even the parties in power change,? he said. ?That?s why, in the grand scheme of things, we don?t care who?s the head of the United States, we know more or less what?s going to happen. And so, in this regard, even if we wanted to, it wouldn?t make sense for us to interfere.?
Putin repeatedly rejected claims that Russian hackers had acted to help Trump win the election ? an assertion that has been substantiated by multiple U.S. intelligence agencies. Officials at those organizations have said Putin personally ?ordered an influence campaign? in an intelligence report ordered by former President Barack Obama.
?I haven?t seen, even once, any direct proof of Russian interference in the presidential election in the United States,? Putin told Kelly.
One of the most vehement denials during the interview, however, came when Kelly asked about a slew of meetings between members of the Trump campaign and Russia?s ambassador to the U.S., Sergey Kislyak.
Trump?s former national security adviser Michael Flynn was forced to resign after he mischaracterized a meeting he had with Kislyak. In recent months, several other administration officials, including Attorney General Jeff Sessions and adviser Jared Kushner, have also come under increased scrutiny over their dealings with Kislyak.
Putin denied that he had any knowledge of such encounters, at first telling Kelly that there ?were no meetings? before clarifying that he had not been informed because there was ?nothing to even talk about.?
?I?m being completely honest with you,? Putin said. ?I don?t know. The routine job of an ambassador ? do you think that from all over the world, or from the United States, the ambassador reports to me every day who he meets with or what they discuss there? That?s complete nonsense.?
?There wasn?t any kind of discussion about sanctions or anything else. You created a sensation out of nothing.?
The Russian president also declined to address reports that he was in possession of a secret dossier of compromising material on Trump, and said there was no ?special relationship? between the two men.
?There was a time when he used to come to Moscow,? he said. ?But you know, I never met with him. We have a lot of Americans who visit us.?
Florida first baseman Kayli Kvistad homered and drove in three runs and Delanie Gourley struck out 10 in the top-seeded Gators’ 5-2 victory over Washington in the softball College World Series in Oklahoma City on Sunday.
ISIS is calling on its followers to massacre civilians during Islam’s holy month of Ramadan, saying violence is a ‘beloved” act. One Islamic expert explains, jihadists are promised this huge reward for Ramadan terrorism.
Madison went to the museum in Architect Philip upon arrival New Canaan, immediately called-in the pest control for lice removal in his children?s infested room.. She saw science projects. She wanted to make slime.
Could a robot minister be coming to a pulpit near you?
Simply put, Boston Red Sox left-hander David Price shut down the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday night.
Twenty-five years after luxury labels sued his Harlem boutique out of existence, Gucci looks to him for inspiration.
We are planning to head up to Triund for a trek this weekend. The hustle and bustle of the city life is mind-numbing We are conducting a mobile lice removal campaign for a period of three months.. But Triund is a scenic trek, nestled away in the Himalayas. A couple of days should be enough to recharge ourselves and start a new week afresh.
Prosecutors say he was a middleman between the president and a businessman who paid millions to politicians.
This nun?s smooth soccer skills are simply divine.
A sister from the Dominican order enjoyed a glorious kickabout with a local cop in Limerick, southwest Ireland, last weekend.
Video shows Garda O?Connell, from the Henry St. Community Policing Unit, playing a game of ?keepy uppy,? juggling a soccer ball, with the unidentified nun.
Without using their hands, they each try to keep the ball off the ground.
Ireland?s police force, An Garda Síochána, shared footage of the unlikely pairing to its Facebook page on Wednesday.
?Well what can we say, this definitely isn?t something you see everyday,? the force wrote. ?We?re not sure who won this time, a rematch will have to be scheduled.?
We can?t wait!
type=type=RelatedArticlesblockTitle=Related Coverage articlesList=592eae52e4b055a197ce86c5,592943d8e4b0065b20b6cc5a,5932592ae4b0c242ca2450f4
Clayton Kershaw was as good as he has been all season, but it wasn’t enough to get the decision for the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday night.
A Canadian doctor says one short letter managed to convince doctors that opioids were safe.
Last year, christmas was cold. This year, it is even colder in Our chiropractic approaches and soothing procedures have been of great benefit to thousands of patients facing whiplash problems from Washington, Spokane and other surrounding localities.. They put on their scarves and gloves. They go sledding.
BAE Systems and Helios Global Technologies have signed an agreement under a Memorandum of Understanding to develop liquid-armor for ground troops.
WASHINGTON ? Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.) doesn?t think the Republican-controlled Congress is going to succeed in passing a health care bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act this year.
Speaking to local TV station WXII 12 News, Burr said, ?I don?t see a comprehensive health care plan this year.?
?It?s unlikely that we will get a health care deal, which means that most of my time has been spent trying to figure out solutions to Iowa losing all of its insurers, to Tennessee potentially losing theirs,? Burr said. He was referring to states where struggling insurers have withdrawn or threatened to withdraw, potentially leaving consumers with no options for buying subsidized coverage. Iowa, for example, is down to one insurer for most of the state ? and that insurer has warned it may have to pull out.
He added that the health care bill passed by the House about a month ago is ?not a good plan? and was ?dead on arrival? in the Senate, which plans to craft its own version.
Pressed by the reporter that President Donald Trump wouldn?t be happy about the Senate ignoring the House bill, Burr said the issue was ?too important to get wrong.?
Burr isn?t alone in his skepticism. A number of Senate Republicans have voiced concern about the process the upper chamber has followed in crafting its version of the bill: private meetings, no hearings and little input from experts.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said last week that he wasn?t even sure how his Republican conference would get enough votes to pass an Obamacare repeal and replace bill.
?I don?t know how we get to 50 [votes] at the moment,? he told Reuters.
Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-Texas) told reporters last week thhe expects to send a bill to the president by the time Congress leaves for its monthlong August recess.
Most of this new audience has come for the Donald Trump jokes, which Colbert has made his current specialty.
As such, YouTube clips from ?The Late Show? often gain a large viewership when he makes fun of the current president. But his latest viral video actually doesn?t have a single mention of Trump.
In a segment aimed at the Colbert superfans ? of which there are apparently many ? ?The Late Show? host gave a somewhat ?Birdman?-style tour of the program?s backstage. As a 360-degree camera followed him through rooms and dark corridors, Colbert eventually ran out to host an actual show.
Watch once to follow Colbert. Watch again to see all the different angles of where ?The Late Show? sausage gets made.
Colbert is an informative tour guide in the video, as he relays trivia about different elements of the Ed Sullivan Theater where his show is filmed. It?s not exactly clear whether Colbert is making up some of the facts, but his stories of elephants and a trap door are entertaining nonetheless.
At the end of the tour, Colbert goes though the motions of what is apparently his pre-show ritual. He pops a mint in his mouth (for the guests? sake) and pumps himself up in front of a mirror.
The mirror moment is oddly reminiscent of the final scene of the original ?Twin Peaks,? involving Agent Dale Cooper. This is particularly strange, as multiple people online have brought up that Colbert and Cooper share some resemblance. Perhaps there?s something mystical Colbert isn?t telling us.
Leaked emails allege corrupt links between South African President Zuma’s family and businessmen.
Ticketmaster says it has allocated 12,000 free tickets so far to fans who were at Ariana Grande’s Manchester show.
After One Direction hit the pause button, Styles got to work developing his own voice for his recent solo debut. “I’ve never felt this vulnerable putting out music,” he says.
Google confirmed plans to introduce an ad-block tool on its new Chrome browser that will block offending ads from appearing in desktop and mobile Web searches.
Hassan Whiteside added some more lore to his Snapchat stardom Wednesday, showing off the house he bought for his mother.
Animal care officers in Texas rescued a kitten that had been stuck underneath a traffic pole for three days.
A change of formation, competition for places, injuries and a lukewarm press – why it is tougher than ever for Gareth Bale at the Bernabeu.
Teens are making it rain literal paper to celebrate the end of the school year.
A bunch of videos of a students throwing their notes, essays, and folders from the year have been making the rounds on Twitter and they are EPIC.
Some schools do the paper toss as a last-day tradition or a graduating senior-specific activity.
One toss, at Basha High School in Chandler, Arizona, was caught from two different angles and ended with students ?surfing? down the paper-coated stairs.
Basha senior Jordan White has over 30,000 retweets on his video and spoke to an ABC 15 about the toss:
?People came with the boxes, suitcases filled, all sorts of things filled with paper and just dumped it out,? he told the outlet. ?There was such a thick coating of paper that you could just slide right down the stairs, it was wild.?
At White?s high school, the toss is tradition and students pitch in to clean it all up afterward so custodians don?t get stuck with all that irritating grunt work.
?It?s all recycled, there was lots of concern if it was recycled or not, but it?s all recycled,? White added.
Happy graduation, y?all.
Goodbye Pacific Pivot, Hello Pacific Retreat
Cross-posted with TomDispatch.com
Asia has been the future for more than a generation.
When Americans try to glimpse what?s to come, images of the Pacific Rim flood the imagination. For movie audiences in 1982, the rain-soaked Los Angeles of Blade Runner looked like downtown Tokyo. By 2014, the City of Angels in the Spike Jonze film Her had more of a Shanghai vibe. This upcoming October, with the release of Blade Runner 2049, Los Angeles will likely resemble Seoul.
Off-screen as well, Asia has been almost as good as a time machine. When I was coming of age, it was the place to go for anyone hankering for the next big thing. After college, a number of my classmates traveled to Japan to strike gold teaching English. Today, recent grads are more likely to visit the big cities of South Korea and China, or head further south to Singapore and Malaysia. They all come back, as I did in 2001 after three years in Asia, with stories of the future: bullet trains, otherworldly urban landscapes, the latest electronic gizmos.
So, it?s not surprising that when foreign policy elites think about what will replace a U.S. superpower in relative decline ? speculation that has grown more feverish in the Trump era ? they, too, look East. But no longer to Japan, which is passé, or South Korea, which has also perhaps peaked. Instead, they tremble before China, which has already surpassed the United States in gross economic output, while steadily enhancing its military capabilities. It seems like the only country remotely capable of challenging the United States as the world?s sole superpower.
The anxiety of declining U.S. influence became so intense during the Obama years that the notion of a Group of Two (G2) gained considerable currency: if we can?t beat ?em, went the thinking at the time, then maybe we should join ?em. However seriously intended such a proposal to co-rule the world with China might have been, the Obama administration never followed up beyond agreements on climate change and bilateral investment.
The victory of Donald Trump in the 2016 elections has only deepened anxiety over China?s ascendance among Washington?s policymakers and pundits.
Ambitious and impatient, Beijing decided to strike out on its own. It has unveiled a twenty-first-century, industrial-strength version of the post-World War II Marshall Plan with which the U.S. once put a devastated Europe back on its feet. China?s vision, however, focuses on the building up of all the countries on its periphery and some even further afield, as it tries to draw the whole Eurasian continent into its sphere of influence. Although it?s expected to provide an estimated $1 trillion to more than 60 countries, this ?One Belt, One Road? plan is anything but a charity mission. It will direct a major influx of resources to Chinese construction companies, bring minerals and energy to Chinese factories, and promise a better potential return on investment than U.S. treasury bonds. Some infrastructure projects will also allay security concerns, like the energy pipelines to be built through Myanmar that will bypass the watery bottleneck of the Malacca Straits where a determined adversary could potentially shut off 80% of Beijing?s oil imports.
The victory of Donald Trump in the 2016 elections has only deepened anxiety over China?s ascendance among Washington?s policymakers and pundits. During his campaign, Trump frightened both the neocons and more conventional militarists with his talk of avoiding military entanglements overseas. As president, he has pledged to boost military spending but seems to have no idea of how to use all the Pentagon?s new toys other than to bomb the stuffing out of the militants of the Islamic State.
Nor does Trump care a whit about the soft power the United States has traditionally used to cultivate international support. For instance, Washington had long promoted international financial institutions and free trade agreements, but Trump has railed against the ?false song of globalism.? China, meanwhile, is positioning itself to become the new overlord of global capitalism, even going so far as to set up a parallel international financial system to realize its vision. The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), which began operations in January 2016 without the support of the United States or the European Union, will function like the World Bank in providing financing for China?s various building projects abroad. Whereas Beijing controls less than 5% of the votes at the World Bank, it commands 28% of the shares in the AIIB. Although still a small operation compared to China?s commercial banks, it will be quite capable of scaling up if the opportunity arises.
The showdown between Beijing and Washington is unlikely to play out exactly as the Chinese hope and Americans fear.
The contrast between Beijing and Washington has become even sharper around climate change. Trump?s denial of global warming ? he once labeled it a Chinese ?hoax? ? has whetted the Beijing leadership?s appetite for global influence. As one of its top climate change negotiators said shortly after Trump won the November election, ?China?s influence and voice are likely to increase in global climate governance, which will then spill over into other areas of global governance and increase China?s global standing, power, and leadership.?
All of this is part of a larger trend of power flowing from West to East. In 2010, North America and Western Europe were responsible for 40% of the global gross national product. By 2050, that share, the Economist Intelligence Unit estimates, will fall to 21%, with Asia?s share rising to a commanding 48.1%.
But don?t rush out to begin that crash course in Mandarin and exchange your dollars for yuan quite yet. The showdown between Beijing and Washington is unlikely to play out exactly as the Chinese hope and Americans fear.
The Decline of the United States
On a visit to Beijing in October 2016, in the presence of the Chinese leadership, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte declared, ?America has lost now. I?ve realigned myself in your ideological flow.? He went on to imagine a new axis of Russia, China, and the Philippines arrayed against the arrogance of American power.
Talk about shockers. The Philippines has traditionally been a cornerstone of U.S. influence in Asia, a place for Washington to station troops, dock ships, and, in the post-9/11 era, send military advisors to help suppress a Muslim insurgency. Moreover, Manila had gone toe to toe with Beijing over disputed islands in the South China Sea, even submitting its case to an international tribunal for arbitration. But that was before Duterte became president in May 2016 and labeled President Obama, who took a dim view of Duterte?s gruesome record of extrajudicial killings, a ?son of a whore.?
The apparent defection of the Philippines was the coup de grâce for one of the Obama administration?s most heralded foreign policy efforts aimed at staving off American decline. In October 2011, just before the Arab Spring broke out, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton authored an article in Foreign Policy laying out what would become known as the ?Pacific pivot.? The United States, at the time, was fitfully trying to extricate itself from wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Thanks to imports from Mexico and Canada, as well as investments in shale fracking and sustainable energy, Washington was no longer quite so dependent on Middle Eastern oil. The Obama administration felt that it might finally put the failures of the Bush years behind it and turn to new horizons.
The Pacific pivot should have been called the Willie Sutton policy. When Sutton was asked why he robbed banks, he replied, ?That?s where the money is.? So, too, with Asia. It contains four of the top 11 economies in the world: China?s, Japan?s, India?s, and South Korea?s. With the United States focused on losing bets in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, and Yemen, China has been cornering this rich Asian market. By now, it has become the leading trading partner for South Korea, Japan, Australia, and virtually all of Southeast Asia.
To recapture its edge in the region, the Obama administration promoted a free trade compact known as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). U.S. negotiators managed to achieve the near-impossible by getting a dozen disparate countries on the same page while leaving China out of the picture. But Congress proved, at best, lukewarm on the deal. And sentiment among the American public ran even colder ? so cold, in fact, that one of its chief architects, Hillary Clinton, fearing that the trade agreement might take her presidential bid down in flames, came out against it in 2016. Withdrawing from the TPP would, of course, be one of Donald Trump?s first acts as president.
The United States, in fact, faces more than just an economic challenge in Asia. Washington had long considered the Pacific to be an ?American lake.? It currently has 375,000 military and civilian personnel stationed within the Pacific Command?s ambit and devotes roughly half its naval capacity to Pacific waters. It maintains treaty alliances with Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines, as well as dozens of military bases in the region. But China, after more than a decade of double-digit increases in military spending, has begun pushing back against American pretensions to be the only Pacific power around. It has developed new weapons to deny the U.S. military access to its coastal waters and has come to excel at cyberwarfare, vacuuming up huge amounts of confidential data by hacking into U.S. government agencies. Meanwhile, in the world of spy versus spy, China has managed to plug leaks on its end by jailing or killing more than a dozen U.S. intelligence assets.
Even before the ascension of Donald Trump, the Pentagon?s effort to pivot eastward had come up short. For all its overwhelming military edge, Washington has increasingly found itself unable to dictate outcomes through force anywhere in the Greater Middle East. The rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan, and turmoil in Yemen and Libya have all continued to bedevil the U.S. military.
In the meantime, the Obama administration made some token rearrangements of its forces in the Pacific, sold some high-tech weaponry to its allies in the region, and threw some brush-back pitches at Beijing. But in the end, as with so many of Obama?s initiatives, the Pacific pivot proved largely aspirational. The U.S. never really pivoted out of the Greater Middle East.
As a presidential candidate, Trump was content to bluster about Chinese threats, even as he also threatened to withdraw the U.S. nuclear umbrella from both Tokyo and Seoul. He demanded that U.S. allies pony up more money for American help and protection, while offering no new ways of anchoring the United States in the Pacific.
[Asia] contains four of the top 11 economies in the world… China has been cornering this rich Asian market.
Now in the Oval Office, Trump has sent mixed signals. He?s repaired relations with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, but he?s also been pushing a major rise in the Pentagon budget. And what country would be the target of those additional tens of billions of dollars in military spending? The U.S. Navy certainly doesn?t need a 350-ship force to counter the Islamic State. Trump has welcomed the election of South Korea?s new president, Moon Jae-in, but also insists that he wants to renegotiate ?bad? trade and security deals with South Korea. He has tried to bully North Korea, but has also held out the possibility of meeting personally with that ?pretty smart cookie,? Kim Jong-un.
Thanks to his erratic pronouncements, even though it?s early in Trump?s term, American influence in the region is already dropping as inexorably as the president?s approval ratings at home. Add to this mix a president who only wants big wins but doesn?t see the likelihood of that happening in Asia and you have the definition of decline.
That decline has, in recent years, often been calculated in terms of approaching horizons: when North Korean missiles can reach the West Coast; when China?s military spending pulls closer to the Pentagon?s; when Japan and South Korea, like the Philippines, begin to reconsider their allegiances. Now, in the Trump era, add one more item to the list: when Asia faces an incompetent, corrupt, and self-defeating administration in Washington.
The way seems clear enough for China, the strongest country in Asia, to fill the potential vacuum. But, as they say, the best-laid plans oft do go astray.
The Weakness of Asia
Japan is the incredible shrinking country. Between 2010 and 2015, the population of America?s most steadfast ally in the Pacific dropped by a million people to just over 127 million. As a result of a strikingly low fertility rate and negligible immigration, there could, according to official projections, be only 85-95 million Japanese by 2050. By 2135, after living in a fossilized society, the last Japanese, at the age of 118, could breathe his or her final breath. This worst-case scenario, as spelled out by former trade negotiator Clyde Prestowitz in his recent book Japan Restored, is perhaps far-fetched, but Japan is nevertheless on a path toward what looks like national seppuku: ritual suicide by attrition.
Ah, well, that?s Japan, you might think. It?s been in a fiscal funk since its economic bubble burst back in 1990. But the rise, stagnation, and shrinkage of that country remains a cautionary tale for all the other lands that have followed its path of export-led and state-facilitated growth.
After all, South Korea has entered its own period of diminished economic expectations, with anemic growth, widening inequality, and pervasive corporate corruption. Young South Koreans, facing the prospect of unemployment or poorly compensated contract labor, refer to their country as ?Hell Choson,? a play on the Choson dynasty that ruled from 1392 to 1897. Taiwan, another member of the ?flying geese of industrialization? responsible for Asia?s tremendous economic growth, faces a strikingly similar set of problems, according to economist Frank Hsiao, including ?low and stagnating wage rates, increasing income inequality, the hollowing out of domestic industries, and languishing exports.?
Some of the shine is even wearing off China?s economic miracle. The days of annual double-digit growth in its gross national product are long past. Officials are happy now if they can cite growth figures closer to 7% (and even those are believed to be overstated). The Chinese labor force has been contracting since 2012. Strikes and labor protests increased dramatically in 2016, while unrest continues in China?s westernmost provinces of Xinjiang and Tibet. The government?s official anti-corruption campaign, despite netting some highly placed individuals, has only driven the corrupt into more discrete forms of graft.
Meanwhile, it?s not only Japan that faces a demographic crisis. The fertility rates of both Taiwan (1.12) and South Korea (1.25) are even lower than Japan?s (1.41), while China?s (1.6) is only a bit higher. None of them is close to the replacement rate of 2.1. Approaching 2050, all four countries will have to dig deep to pay the retirement benefits and healthcare costs of all the industrious workers currently outperforming their counterparts elsewhere in the world. What was once called ?Japan passing? ? investors skipping that country in search of better opportunities elsewhere in the region ? is already morphing into ?China passing.? Financial flows are also going to be affected by the rising waters of climate change, which, later in the century, will threaten major cities like Tokyo, Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Singapore.
Predicting the coming supremacy of the East has been a veritable cottage industry in the West, and its stock is still rising as China?s One Belt, One Road venture, meant to tie the vast Eurasian continent together, goes head to head with Trump?s ?my way or the highway.? The future, however, promises to be far messier than China or its boosters imagine. Demographics, corruption, and reduced economic growth ? not to mention environmental degradation and the declining legitimacy of its ruling party?s ideology ? are by no means the only problems that Beijing faces.
Asia?s New Nationalism
The United States once billed itself as the antidote to nationalism in Asia. After World War II, it established a permanent military presence across the region to prevent the resurgence of Japanese militarism. It portrayed itself as a neutral party, with no territorial ambitions. It restored the island of Okinawa to Japan in 1972. It refused to take sides in several island disputes in the region. In this way, its liberal internationalism squared off against the illiberal Communisms of China, North Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos.
Both these supranational ideologies, which flourished in the region during the Cold War, have entered hospice care in the twenty-first century. Communism has functionally disappeared from the region, replaced by nationalisms of varying degrees of intensity. Xi Jinping?s China and Kim Jong-un?s North Korea are hardly the only places where nationalism has taken root.
In Japan, for instance, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is busy trying to rebuild the very militarism that the United States once professed to despise. A succession of U.S. administrations has aided and abetted this right-wing nationalist effort to dispense with the country?s post-World War II ?peace constitution? and push the Japanese Self-Defense Forces onto the offensive.
Nationalist leaders, meanwhile, have assumed power throughout Southeast Asia: the murderous president of the Philippines, Rodrigo Duterte; the former military commander, now prime minister of Thailand, Prayuth Chan-ocha; and the corrupt Najib Razak, prime minister of Malaysia. Even more ominously, nationalism has taken hold in South Asia, particularly in India, which recently replaced Great Britain as the world?s sixth largest economy and where Prime Minister Narendra Modi has made Hindu exceptionalism the heart and soul of his ruling party.
One obvious result of this rising nationalism has been escalating arms imports across the region. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, India became the world?s largest arms importer in 2012-2016. During that period, Southeast Asia?s arms imports rose by more than 6%, with Vietnam jumping to 10th place globally. In 2012, for the first time, Asia surpassed Europe in overall military spending.
Both the nationalist rhetoric and those weapons imports are certainly linked to regional perceptions of the waxing and waning of great powers. To reinforce their claims to the South China Sea and several other disputed territories, countries in the region feel the need to arm themselves in the face of a newly aggressive China and a perennially distracted United States.
At the moment, those two countries are cooperating in one key area: pouring money into the kind of military hardware that could someday lead to a catastrophic showdown. This reality has led ever more foreign policy analysts to invoke the ?Thucydides trap,? in which a rising power like Athens (read: China) takes on the hitherto dominant power Sparta (read: America) in a long, debilitating conflict like the Peloponnesian War (read: World War III).
But the conflicts in Asia may, in fact, shape up quite differently. Movements for greater self-determination are undercutting the reach of both the rising and the reigning superpower. Consider the contrasting examples of Myanmar and South Korea.
China is the largest investor in Myanmar, and at one time the two countries were as thick as thieves. But relations between them have grown tense. In 2011, the new civilian-led government in Myanmar stopped work on the Myitsone dam, one of a number of mega-projects financed by Beijing. ?Plenty of Burmese blame China for helping to prop up the military junta,? writes journalist Tom Miller in his new book, China?s Asian Dream. Newly enfranchised, the Burmese have taken aim at projects like Myitsone, where 90% of the electricity generated would have gone to China. Myanmar?s leader Aung San Suu Kyi must now decide between permanently mothballing the dam, which would require paying back the $800 million owed Chinese financiers, or going forward with a deeply unpopular project she previously opposed.
The example of Myanmar is not unique. Sri Lanka has recently swung away from China and back toward India. Filipino President Duterte has recently edged back toward a United States led by Donald Trump, who has praised the Philippine leader?s drug war (despite its massive human rights violations). Vietnam is perennially suspicious of China?s geopolitical intentions, but anti-Chinese sentiment has also been building in Laos, Indonesia, and Malaysia. One Belt, One Road might outstrip the Marshall Plan in size, but it lacks the underlying regional political solidarity that ensured the latter?s success.
And yet China is not alone in feeling a backlash in the region. In South Korea, for instance, a decade of conservative rule came to a crashing end with the impeachment of President Park Geun-hye on corruption charges, a hastily organized election, and the victory of progressive Moon Jae-in. The new South Korean leader is no firebrand, so don?t expect a dramatic break with Washington. South Korea has been subservient to the United States for too long to risk that any time soon. Moon has, however, promised to take another look at the missile defense system ? the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) ? that the United States worked so hard to deploy in South Korea before he took office. The new president also wants to mend fences with China, the country?s largest trading partner, and revive a more cooperative relationship with North Korea as well.
Meanwhile, in Japan, opposition from politicians, activists, and ordinary citizens in Okinawa has blocked a plan hammered out in Tokyo and Washington to close an old U.S. military base in the city of Futenma, only to build a replacement elsewhere on the island. Okinawa is where America houses a good deal of its Pacific firepower. The refusal of Okinawan inhabitants to support the construction of the new base has not only scrambled the Pacific plans of both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton but given new legitimacy to the idea of withdrawing U.S. forces from Japan and South Korea to a secondary tier of islands like Guam.
The growing willingness of Asian countries to put their own interests above those of their putative patrons has also made it more difficult for the region to find common ground. ?Asia is not remotely cohesive,? writes Jessica Mathews of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. ?There is no ?East? comparable to the ?West.? Though the region is integrating economically, it is riven by active conflicts, bitter historical memories, and deep cultural divisions.?
Past as Prologue?
If liberal internationalism no longer appeals to U.S. allies in Asia ? or, indeed, to the new leadership in Washington ? it might be easy enough to assume that the future will be a replay of the past: the return to a Sinocentric universe that prevailed for 1,000 years or more in the region. Instead of local satraps loaded with gifts visiting an emperor in Beijing, the leaders of Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and the Philippines will build dams and ports and pipelines with Chinese money and then repatriate much of the proceeds to that country.
[D]espite all those dreams of Asia?s glittering future, it?s unlikely to resemble the peaceful prosperity of Europe, nor is it likely to see a continuation of U.S. hegemony…
As it happens, though, the intensification of nationalism in Asia has greatly complicated this picture and may leave leaders like Duterte playing Beijing off against Washington, or striking out on their own, or perhaps seeking help from India ? or even Saudi Arabia, which has made a bid for greater influence among Muslim-majority countries like Indonesia and Malaysia. If the rise of China has caused much anxiety in the West, so has the possibility that no country will become dominant in Asia in the wake of U.S. decline and that a new kind of chaos will descend on the region.
?The idea of a multipolar world, without dominant powers and guided solely by the rule of law, is theoretically attractive,? Financial Times journalist Gideon Rachman writes in his recent book Easternization. But he adds, ?I fear that just such a multipolar world is already emerging and proving to be unstable and dangerous: the ?rules? are very hard to enforce without a dominant power in the background.?
For years, Asia has contemplated an alternative to both Chinese and American hegemony. Following the example of the European Union, politicians and scholars have imagined a future of economic and political integration. But the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and similar efforts continue to fall far short of the EU ideal (which itself looks increasingly shaky and fragmented).
In other words, despite all those dreams of Asia?s glittering future, it?s unlikely to resemble the peaceful prosperity of Europe, nor is it likely to see a continuation of U.S. hegemony or a repeat of the China-centered system of centuries past. It?s likely, however, to involve population decline, economic contraction, heightened nationalism, and rising waters ? a future, in short, filled with troubles and dangers of every sort.
Although Washington still commands considerable power in the region, it could stand back, Trump-like, and just watch everything unravel. Or, alongside Beijing, it could make a serious investment in a new organization of security and economic cooperation, in which the United States and China would be equal partners, the region could have its collective say, and the new nationalism would be deprived of its major raison d?être.
Without such a supranational vision that could bring the region together around the twin threats of climate change and economic inequality, one thing is essentially guaranteed. The Asia to come won?t look shiny and new like some Hollywood movie. The future may not look like Asia at all, but more like Europe circa 1913, at the edge of conflict and cataclysm.
John Feffer is the author of the new dystopian novel, Splinterlands (a Dispatch Books original with Haymarket Books), which Publishers Weekly hails as ?a chilling, thoughtful, and intuitive warning.? He is the director of Foreign Policy In Focus at the Institute for Policy Studies and a TomDispatch regular.
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